Finally, the Oaks favorite announcement!!!
May Graded Races in great form...!!
Ready for the Oaks!
Let's win! 🔥
— May Graded Race Results —
【Empress】🥇◎ (3.2x)
【Hyogo CS】🥈◎ (10.9x)
【Nagoya GP】🥈◎ (8.5x)
【Epsom C】🥉◎ (30.1x)
【Keio Hai SC】🥉◎ (16.2x)
【Unicorn】🥉◎ (10.4x)
— 2026 Graded Race Results —
【Nakayama Himba S】🥇◎ (15.3x)
【Kinko Sho】🥇◎ (13.5x)
【Negishi S】🥇◎ (13.2x)
【Aoba Sho】🥇◎ (8.1x)
【Ocean】🥈◎ (14.5x)
【Unicorn】🥈◎ (10.4x)
【Hanshin Daishoten】🥈◎ (13.6x)
【Flora S】🥈◎ (4.0x)
【Nikkei Sho】🥈◎ (4.0x)
【Yayoi Sho】🥈◎ (2.7x)
【Epsom C】🥉◎ (30.1x)
【Keio Hai SC】🥉◎ (16.2x)
【Hanshin Himba S】🥉◎ (11.3x)
【Kyoto Kinen】🥉◎ (9.0x)
【Nakayama Kimpai】🥉◎ (7.8x)
【Churchill】🥉◎ (6.9x)
【Mainichi Hai】🥉◎ (3.0x)
Here is the answer sheet 👇
【S Rating 🏇】
・Ametista
Wide stride, definitely suited for Tokyo 2400m.
・Enne
Top-tier closing speed. If not stuck too far back, could take 1st.
【A Rating 🏇】
・Arrancar
Closing from the back in the Oka Sho suggests this course will suit.
・Dream Core
Disregard Oka Sho due to disadvantage; 2400m is very suitable.
・Laughter Lines
Highly rated for winning the high-level Flora S with a late charge.
【B Rating 🏇】
・Realize Luminous
3rd in Flora S; good odds value despite the gap.
・Smart Priere
Flower C winner, but concerns about temperament/settling.
・Trinity
2200m win is good, but a front-running style may not fit this time.
・Star Anise
Top-tier ability but more of a miler; low value if popular.
・Ange de Joie
Undefeated in 2 starts; impressive win in the Kunshiran Sho.
・Juryoku Pierrot
Benefited from the pace last time, but has ability; depends on the jockey.
【C Rating 🏇】
・Lei Classic
Distance seems fine; would like to see a forward position from this draw.
・Sol Passare
Lacked growth from a good position in the last two races; underwhelming.
・Sweet Happiness
Can be forgiven for the late start in Oka Sho. Distance extension is questionable.
【D Rating 🏇】
・Mitsukane Venera
Lacked stamina at 1800m; 2400m likely won't suit.
・Long Tall Sally
Poor performance last time. Front-running style makes conditions tough here.
・Longing Celine
Pure front-runner; very tough for Tokyo 2400m. Disregarding for aptitude.
・Stunning Lady
Weak performance in Flora S. Concerns about settling.
【High Aptitude 🏇】
🥇Enne
Clocked 32.8 at Tokyo 2000m. Still has room to accelerate; distance extension is welcome.
🥈Dream Core
If not too far forward, its endurance will shine at Tokyo 2400m.
🥉Laughter Lines
Repeatedly clocked 32s at Tokyo. While 1600-2000m might be best eventually, can handle 2400m now.
・Arrancar
Closing performance in Oka Sho suggests finishing ability is suited for Tokyo 2400m.
・Juryoku Pierrot
Won with a late charge at 2000m. Welcomes the distance extension.
・Trinity
Won at 2200m. High distance aptitude if not positioned too far forward.
・Lei Classic
Proven at 2000-2200m. Can sustain speed from a good position.
・Ange de Joie
Undefeated in 2 starts. Judging by the last win, can handle the extension.
・Ametista
Wide stride and physique clearly suit a wide, long course.
・Realize Luminous
Only horse in Flora S to stay in the money while running near the front; endurance will work.
【Low Aptitude 🏇】
・Star Anise
Pedigree-wise, aptitude is hopeless, but in good form; might work for a 3-year-old race.
・Smart Priere
Stamina is fine, but settling issues make the extension a negative.
・Sweet Happiness
Not so much the 2400m, but more a type that doesn't suit high-speed tracks.
・Sol Passare
Faded at 2000m. Hard to imagine holding on while leading at a longer distance.
・Stunning Lady
Settling concerns. A deduction for Tokyo 2400m.
・Mitsukane Venera
Won't hold if leading; lacks closing speed if held back.
・Long Tall Sally
Front-running simply doesn't suit Tokyo 2400m. Faded at 2200m while leading.
・Longing Celine
Typical case of a pure front-runner not suiting Tokyo 2400m.
《Noteworthy Dark Horse》 11. Ametista
Primarily, this horse is highly suited for long straights and the 2400m distance based on its wide stride and physique.
Finishing 4th in the Flower S while holding firm from a good position despite disadvantages proves its potential. Stable in mid-to-forward positions recently with no settling issues, making it strong regardless of race development.
Since the pace looks fast and might favor closers, I won't make it the top pick, but it's a great buy now while its popularity is down due to results at Nakayama (which didn't suit it).
If I felt more growth in its physique, I would have made it the favorite regardless of development, but it currently lags behind the favorites in maturity. If it enters the Shuka Sho and shows growth, I'll make it the favorite on its best stage without hesitation.
————————————————————
【Expected Pace】: Middle
【Course Tendency】: Slightly favors the front
【Lead Battle】: Intense
【Expected Pack】: Elongated
【Advantaged Style】: Closer
【Advantaged Draw】: Outside
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Oaks: ◎ Enne
Wait for the betting ticket reveal by liking and reposting.
