🔥Final Prediction is Here🔥
Course Commentary by the Race Analysis Team
Tokyo Turf 1600m, Fillies/Mares Only
With the switch to the B-course, the track remains an ultra-fast surface this week as usual.
Quoting the NHK Mile Cup Course Commentary:
On a track this fast, what is inevitably required is short-distance quality [acceleration and sustainability]. It is not the mid-distance type of explosive power where you save energy mid-race and burst on the straight; rather, it is an endurance contest of maintaining speed while carving out laps that do not slacken mid-way.
In the NHK Mile Cup, we hit the mark with Admire Quads (6th favorite), whom we highly evaluated for fast-track suitability.
For this week's Victoria Mile, we want to focus on horses with short-distance power and speed who can deliver high performance on similarly fast tracks.
[Tokyo 11R]
◎ 4. Erika Express <U score 103>
〇 12. Embroidery <U score 93>
▲ 11. Bond Girl <U score 88>
☆ 17. Palais de la Reine <U score 84>
△ 8, 14, 16, 18
💻 Analysis Team Point: Erika Express 💻
Looking at past career runs, excluding races where she self-destructed due to temperament, her high-performance races have been on fast tracks (Fairy S, Shuka Sho).
While this horse might lose in a pure instantaneous speed battle where everyone saves energy, her ability to sustain speed on the ultra-fast track explained above is high, and the track conditions should suit her well.
Furthermore, looking at the strong contenders this time, many are mid-distance types, and there are few pure speed milers for whom the Tokyo Mile is best. The key is to lead at a tight pace without letting the followers save energy. In that regard, Jockey Yutaka Take is very reassuring.
For the opponents, high-level indices were produced centered on the high-level 4-year-old generation, starting with the speed miler Bond Girl.
[Common Recommended Betting Patterns]
【Betting Budget Under 5,000 Yen】
Win/Place ◎
【5,000 to 10,000 Yen】
Win/Place ◎, Wide ◎ → 〇▲
【10,000 to 20,000 Yen】
Win/Place ◎, Wide ◎ → 〇▲
3-連単 (Trifecta) ◎〇 Multi ▲△ Flow
【20,000 to 30,000 Yen】
Win/Place ◎, Wide ◎ → 〇▲, Trifecta Multi ◎〇 → ▲△ Flow + ◎▲ → △ Flow
【For those with extra funds / wanting to buy Trifectas broadly】
Trifecta Multi ◎〇 → ▲△ Flow + ◎▲ → △ Flow + ◎ → △ Flow
