🎖️《GⅠ》~NHK Mile Cup~ Final Predictions🎖️
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~✨🌟 Recent [Graded Stakes] Favorite ◎ Performance 🌟✨~
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【NZT】🥇◎ Reservation (45.3x)
【Nakayama Himba S】🥇◎ Ethelfrieda (15.3x)
【Aichi Hai】🥈◎ Salt Queen (9.1x)
【Nakayama Kinen】🥈◎ Kalamatianos (7.6x)
【Nakayama Grand J】🥈◎ Dinersta (6.6x)
【Takamatsunomiya Kinen】🥉◎ Win Carnelian (19.4x)
【Churchill】🥉◎ Barcesito (6.7x)
【Spring S】🥉◎ Ask Edinburgh (4.9x)
【Falcon S】🥉◎ Fukuchan Sho (12.6x)
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🔹Mark List🔹
◎ 16 Ask Ikigomi
○ 4 Cavalierizzo
▲ 17 Rodeo Drive
☆ 18 Fukuchan Sho
△ 5, 6, 7, 10, 11, 15
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Tokyo Turf 1600m is often noted for its long straight and the presence of a slope, but in reality, it is a comprehensive test of how one handles the early flow, maintains rhythm mid-race, and connects that to the final stretch. Sharp speed alone isn't enough; it's crucial to maintain leg strength until the very end even within a fast lap. Based on this course layout and this year's field, the favorite ◎ is Ask Ikigomi.
This horse showed a solid closing win in its debut and a superb victory in the previous Churchill C despite a late start. Considering the opponent was Yu Pharaoh, the value of that win is high. With only two career starts, there is plenty of room for improvement, and the impression is that it gets better with every run. While the competition gets significantly tougher here, it deserves the top rating including its unknown potential.
The rival ○ Cavalierizzo is a top candidate based on track record alone. With a win in the Asahi Hai FS and high performance in the Daily Hai Nisai S, its ability compared to the top of the generation is already proven. The previous Satsuki Sho was 2000m, which seemed a bit outside its aptitude, so there's no need to lower its evaluation based on that one race. Returning to the mile this time makes it easier to show its original form, and if it can proceed in its own rhythm, it could make a major comeback. The experience of walking the royal road of racing is a big weapon here.
▲ Rodeo Drive has only had three races, but the content has been dense. From a debut win to breaking through the 1-win class and then taking 2nd place in the NZT with no time difference from Reservation, it has shown it can fight well in graded stakes. It can use its legs even when running near the front and create its own shape within the flow. The completeness of its race handling is high, and it's hard to imagine a major collapse. The competition rises again, but based on its runs so far, it doesn't seem inferior and can boldly join the top contention.
☆ Fukuchan Sho is an interesting presence beyond its popularity. With 3rd in the Falcon S, 3rd in the Crocus S, and 2nd in the Keio Hai Nisai S, it has consistently delivered results against strong opponents. The ability to respond even when the flow becomes fast, not just in a finishing speed contest, is a big draw. It has the flexibility to make a race from either the front or back, and its chances could expand rapidly depending on the development. It might lose popularity this time, but considering the opponents it has faced, it's dangerous to overlook. I want to be wary of it as a potential upset maker.
🔻Betting Tips🔻
【Win】
16
【Trifecta】
16 → 4, 17, 18 (1-horse axis multi)
【Trio】
16 → 4, 17, 18 → 4, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11, 15, 17, 18 (Formation)
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