Finally, the Yasuda Kinen best bet announcement!!!
May [Graded Races] in top form...!!
Preparation for the Yasuda Kinen is complete!
Let's win! 🔥
— May Graded Race Results —
[Empress] 🥇◎ (3.2x)
[Hyogo CS] 🥈◎ (10.9x)
[Nagoya GP] 🥈◎ (8.5x)
[Epsom C] 🥉◎ (30.1x)
[Keio Hai SC] 🥉◎ (16.2x)
[Unicorn] 🥉◎ (10.4x)
— 2026 Graded Race Results —
[Nakayama Himba S] 🥇◎ (15.3x)
[Kinko Sho] 🥇◎ (13.5x)
[Negishi S] 🥇◎ (13.2x)
[Aoba Sho] 🥇◎ (8.1x)
[Ocean] 🥈◎ (14.5x)
[Unicorn] 🥈◎ (10.4x)
[Hanshin Daishoten] 🥈◎ (13.6x)
[Flora S] 🥈◎ (4.0x)
[Nikkei Sho] 🥈◎ (4.0x)
[Yayoi Sho] 🥈◎ (2.7x)
[Epsom C] 🥉◎ (30.1x)
[Keio Hai SC] 🥉◎ (16.2x)
[Hanshin Himba S] 🥉◎ (11.3x)
[Kyoto Kinen] 🥉◎ (9.0x)
[Nakayama Kimpai] 🥉◎ (7.8x)
[Churchill] 🥉◎ (6.9x)
[Mainichi Hai] 🥉◎ (3.0x)
Here is the answer sheet 👇
【SS Evaluation🏇】
・Stellenbosch
Judged to be fully recovered; training was outstanding and likely in peak form.
【A Evaluation🏇】
・Trovatore
Opponents are weak, but has won consecutive races despite disadvantages; aptitude is sufficient.
【A Evaluation🏇】
・Dragon Boost
High evaluation for 2nd place last time; pace will suit if positioned mid-pack.
・Gaia Force
Undoubtedly top tier if Jantar Mantar is absent.
【B Evaluation🏇】
・Panja Tower
Won the NHK Mile, but recent form suggests a lean toward shorter distances.
・Water Licht
Tokyo mile specialist; can perform well if not positioned too far back.
・Off Trail
Tokyo might not suit, but stable late speed makes it a buy for a straight-line battle.
・Suzu Halome
Sharp late speed, but the pace favored it last time. Just a contender.
・Luxor Cafe
Interesting if the track is heavy; a longshot candidate to buy.
・Lebensstil
Strong at 1800m but the mile is questionable; lower evaluation if popular.
・World's End
Given the field, a wire-to-wire win is a possibility, but the draw is tricky.
【C Evaluation🏇】
・Sixpence
Has turf ability but recent performance is mediocre; there is a class gap.
・Champagne Color
Excellent late speed in the Tokyo Shimbun Hai, but a slow pace is tough.
・Sirius Colt
Ability gap exists; running style doesn't fit this time, so likely to be ignored.
・Seiun Hades
5th in the Osaka Hai wasn't bad, but mile aptitude lacks backing.
【D Evaluation🏇】
・Sakura Toujours
Little room for improvement due to age and recent form; ignore.
・Long Run
Recent form is poor; ignore despite good training.
【High Aptitude🏇】
🥇 Gaia Force
2nd in Yasuda Kinen, 1st in Fuji S. Top-tier Tokyo mile results and content.
🥈 Trovatore
1st in Tokyo Shimbun Hai, 2 wins at Tokyo 1600m. Stable late speed.
🥉 Stellenbosch
0.3s gap in a Tokyo Mile G1. Filly weight of 56kg is a plus.
・Water Licht
3rd in Tokyo Shimbun Hai, only 0.1s gap despite disadvantages. High evaluation.
・Champagne Color
3 wins at Tokyo 1600m. Recent 0.1s gap in Tokyo Shimbun Hai.
・Off Trail
Thin results at Tokyo, but stable late speed from Mile CS (4th) and Sekiya Kinen (2nd) fits.
・Sakura Toujours
Considering opponents, has 2 wins at Tokyo 1600m. Can be re-evaluated after being blocked in the Tokyo Shimbun Hai.
・Dragon Boost
First time at Tokyo mile, but potential shown in Myilers Cup 2nd place.
【Low Aptitude🏇】
・Panja Tower
Has results on fast Tokyo miles, but essence is shorter distances. Tokyo itself fits.
・Lebensstil
High ability but best at 1800m. Mile results are weak.
・World's End
Has speed but leans toward 1400m. First Tokyo 1600m and dependency on leading doesn't fit.
・Sixpence
Turf ability exists but 12th in Yasuda. Lacks depth for a Mile G1.
・Seiun Hades
Leans toward middle distances. First Tokyo 1600m; shortening distance isn't necessarily a strong plus.
・Suzu Halome
Recent consecutive wins relied on a closer's finish. Tokyo mile results are weak.
・Sirius Colt
5th in Tokyo Shimbun Hai was good, but lacks the aptitude to win outright.
・Long Run
13th in Yasuda, 15th in Mile CS. Hard to emphasize on a Tokyo mile.
・Luxor Cafe
No turf experience. Dirt specialist; Tokyo turf 1600m aptitude is unknown. A chance if it rains.
*Evaluated based on Tokyo 1600m results over the past 10 years.
*Comprehensive judgment based on win rate, top-2 rate, top-3 rate, and number of starts.
【S Evaluation🏇】
・C. Lemaire
・D. Lane
・Keita Tosaki
【A Evaluation🏇】
・Takeshi Yokoyama
・Yutaka Take
・Kohei Matsuyama
・Goncalves
【B Evaluation🏇】
・Akira Sugawara
・Akihide Tsumura
・Kazuo Yokoyama
・Mirai Iwata
【C Evaluation🏇】
・Daisuke Sasaki
・Yasunari Iwata
・Yuji Tannai
・Hideaki Miyuki
【D Evaluation🏇】
・Riki Takasugi
・Takashi Fujikake
*Titles omitted
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[Expected Pace]: Middle
[Course Trend]: Favoring closers
[Lead Battle]: Intense
[Expected Field]: Elongated
[Advantageous Style]: Closing
[Advantageous Draw]: Flat
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Yasuda Kinen: ◎ 6. Stellenbosch
Evaluated for the last race where she finished 2nd (0.0s gap, effectively a dead heat), closing from mid-pack with late speed at Tokyo 1800m. It was a race where a full recovery was clearly felt. Furthermore, training shows excellent times and clearly better movement, indicating her condition has improved further. She had lost form after Hong Kong, but I believe she has not only returned but is entering her prime.
As an Oka Sho winner, her best distance feels like the mile. While she was out of form, her only mile race was the Victoria Mile where she finished only 0.3s behind; there's no need for pessimism, and her potential is beyond doubt.
There's a slight concern if the track gets heavy, but rain is only expected tomorrow evening, so it shouldn't be terrible. Above all, with her form back and no absolute dominant force this time, there's no hesitation in buying her at around 4th favorite. The draw is acceptable with Damian Lane riding.
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If this was helpful, Likes and RPs are appreciated! 🙇
