Win Return Rate: 158.0%
Philly ◎ Gillie's Ball (10th fav, 24.5x) 🥇
Fukushima Himba ◎ Kogane no Sora (9th fav, 29.2x) 🥇
Nakayama Kin ◎ Calamatianos (7th fav, 14.8x) 🥇
Kokura Dai ◎ Tagano Dude (4th fav, 7.4x) 🥇
Unicorn ◎ Silver Ratio (2nd fav, 2.8x) 🥇
Flora ◎ Laughter Lines (1st fav, 2.2x) 🥇
Tenno Sho Spring ◎ Croix du Nord (1st fav, 1.8x) 🥇
Hanshin Himba ◎ Embroidery (1st fav, 2.8x) 🥇
Shinzan ◎ Sound Move (4th fav, 7.2x) 🥈
Diamond ◎ Feian Kranz (3rd fav, 7.8x) 🥈
Mainichi Hai ◎ Altrams (1st fav, 2.4x) 🥈
Nikkei Sho ◎ Mikuni Inspire (2nd fav, 4.0x) 🥈
NZT ◎ Rodeo Drive (1st fav, 1.7x) 🥈
Nikkei Shin ◎ Lybian Glass (9th fav, 21.2x) 🥉
Procyon ◎ Le Cheval d'Or (8th fav, 12.7x) 🥉
Negishi S ◎ Danon Figo (4th fav, 7.2x) 🥉
Kisaragi ◎ Laughter Lines (4th fav, 7.0x) 🥉
Yayoi Sho ◎ Admire Quads (1st fav, 2.2x) 🥉
Keisei Hai ◎ Solanelman (1st fav, 3.6x) 🥉
[Aoi Stakes] Final Prediction [◎◯▲⭐︎ attached at the end]
◎ ② Dea Veloce
Logi Cape and Femme Marquise, who were top candidates, were excluded.
The former had record times and laps at a graded stakes level during its maiden win. The latter is a Kitasan Black offspring that won its debut by July of its 2-year-old year—a data point where all such horses have gone on to become graded stakes winners. These are horses to watch in the future.
With these two excluded, the highest ability horse is undoubtedly ⑪ Tagano Araria.
However, while it was able to lead in its last race due to a slow pace, it is a horse that originally struggles to find a position even at 1400m, so a drop to 1200m isn't necessarily welcome. Furthermore, the Kyoto turf this season is abnormally fast; even last week with rain, it was at high-speed levels. This week, as the track dries, it is expected to be ultra-high-speed like two weeks ago. In that case, no matter how many front-runners are in the field, it won't be easy for closers to reach. I will lower its evaluation to just a contender.
The target should be a horse that can secure a decent position from an inner gate.
Therefore, my top pick (◎) is ② Dea Veloce.
Its win in the 1-win class last time was excellent.
The winning time of 1:08.4 is the fastest ever recorded for a Hanshin Turf 1200m race held on yielding/soft ground. It won by closing from the outside, five horses wide at the fourth corner. This performance was stronger than the margin suggests.
Even in the Fillies' Revue two starts ago, it finished 4th after being forced wide on a track that favored the inside, so that doesn't lower its evaluation.
The sire Matera Sky was a great dirt sprinter, and the broodmare sire is Mikki Isle. There is no reason it won't suit its first-ever ultra-high-speed 1200m turf race, and there is a very high possibility it will deliver its best performance ever.
It started slightly late last time, but it is originally very good at starting. Drawing an inner gate this time, it is expected to secure a perfect position on the inner rail.
Its fundamental strength, shown by competing well in 1400m and 1600m lines which are higher level than the 1200m line, is sufficient for the top here. Expecting a big performance.
Actual betting tickets will be revealed at 14:30 on race day.
Please follow and wait.
● Aoi Stakes Final Conclusion
◎ ② Dea Veloce
◯ ④ Vogel
▲ ⑤ Eishin Deed
Longshot ⑯ Shonan Charis
△ ③⑪⑫⑬
