Tokyo Turf 1800m
Since this is a weight-for-age race that grants priority entry into the Emperor's Fall Stakes, it is typically used as a starting point for horses resting during summer to challenge the autumn stage.
Looking at the past 10 years, the favorite won 7 times and missed the top three only once. It is a course layout where ability is easily demonstrated due to minimal track damage in the opening week and Tokyo's large 1800m oval.
On Saturday, horses with high acceleration performed well on the fast track typical of the opening week. The final furlong times for the winners of the six races were 32.7, 34.1, 33.5, 33.4, 33.7, and 33.2 seconds, averaging about 33.4 seconds.
Modern Japanese horses are required to have both leading speed and acceleration.
[Tokyo Race 11]
◎ 1. Seiun Harades (U score 103)
Ranked first by index due to fast closing time and favorable gate draw allowing position assertion.
Although finishing 4th in the Yasuda Kinen last time, he was neck-behind the winner with almost no gap. Two races prior, in the Osaka Hai, despite losing momentum due to being cut off in the straight, he competed closely with the top class of older horse routes. If he can finish 7th without losing his edge in the ultimate acceleration battle of last year's Emperor's Fall Stakes, he has the potential to compete even in G1s.
Given the conditions of Tokyo Turf 1800m plus an acceleration battle, there should be no discount.
○ 6. Reichsadler (U score 97)
A horse I evaluate among the top five of the 3-year-old generation. His content of coming from behind to finish 3rd in the Satsuki Sho, which had a front-running advantage, is strong. Although he ran out of gas in the Derby due to poor positioning, he showed cutting power in the Tospo 2-Year-Old Stakes, making him suitable for acceleration battles.
▲ 9. Dragon Boost (U score 89)
An emerging horse from the H-level 4-year-old generation. His 8th place in the Yasuda Kinen was hampered by the outermost gate; he tried to make a late charge but physically couldn't reach because the pace was too slow for a G1. This is a good timing to target him as his popularity drops.
☆ 16. Admya Quads (U score 84)
A typical specialist for fast tracks; the current condition is perfect for Admya Quads. After a heavy defeat in the Satsuki Sho, he dropped one rank in the 3-year-old hierarchy, but as a Real Steel offspring, he deserves re-evaluation in the fast Tokyo Turf 1800m race.
△ 2, 4, 13
Final Picks:
◎ 1. Seiun Harades (U score 103)
○ 6 ▲ 9 ☆ 16 △ 2, 4, 13
