🔥 Final predictions are here 🔥
2025 Aoi Stakes ◎ Rapier 3rd place (8th favorite) 🎯
Race Analysis Team Insight
Last year's Aoi Stakes was a hit with 8th favorite Rapier. We were able to buy ahead on horses that would later excel in the older horse short-distance graded race circuit.
This is the 3-year-old generation sprint championship where horses that have performed well in the 1200m to 1400m range gather.
The key point to emphasize is whether they have experience with a high-pace (H-lap) in the first half.
Since the generation's speed-proud sprinters gather, cases where it becomes a slow-paced finishing kick battle are very rare; it is a race that tests the ability to maintain speed while enduring a torrential pace.
It is a race to buy horses with aptitude for a Sprinters Stakes type (Nakayama) rather than a Takamatsunomiya Kinen type (Chukyo).
Kyoto 11R
◎ 7. Melancholinista <U score 98>
〇 11. Tagano Araria <U score 89>
▲ 2. Dea Veloce <U score 87>
☆ 1. Top Attack <U score 83>
△ 4, 5, 9, 13
AI Index #1 is Melancholinista.
The two races since they started using front-running tactics have had excellent indices. In the previous Hanshin 1400m race, they showed excellent content by staying in the lead through a torrential first 3F of 33.5.
This performance was on a track that was starting to show wear on the 11th day of the meet; while their legs finally stopped in the last furlong, they shook off the closers from behind.
They have aptitude for high-pace laps, and their speed is top-tier even among graded race members. Their unremarkable track record coming up from conditional races is also a plus.
Sired by Mikki Isle with Rahy in the dam line to bring out short-distance speed, it is a classic speed-type pedigree. I believe the distance reduction is welcome.
[Common Recommended Betting Strategy]
【Betting budget under 5,000 yen】
Win/Place ◎
【5,000 to 10,000 yen】
Win/Place ◎, Wide ◎→○▲
【10,000 to 20,000 yen】
Win/Place ◎, Wide ◎→○▲, 3-連単 (Trifecta) ◎○ Multi ▲△ Flow
【20,000 to 30,000 yen】
Win/Place ◎, Wide ◎→○▲, 3-連単 Multi ◎○→▲△ Flow + ◎▲→△ Flow
【For those with extra funds/wanting to buy 3-連単 widely】
3-連単 Multi ◎○→▲△ Flow + ◎▲→△ Flow + ◎→△ Flow
