
LessWrong: Disputes & Decisions
Review claims and decide under uncertainty

LessWrong: Disputes & Decisions
Review claims and decide under uncertainty
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Description
Turn controversial issues, policy discussions, article arguments, and comment-section disputes into clearer, testable analysis that can guide action. This skill draws on the LessWrong rationalist tradition, but does not represent an official LessWrong position. Its focus is not on winning debates, but on distinguishing facts, causal explanations, value judgments, policy proposals, predictions, and personal strategies—and avoiding the mistake of treating emotion, conviction, or volume as evidence. It helps you examine evidence quality, unknowns, base rates, and alternative explanations; identify exaggerated claims such as “everyone thinks,” anecdotal reasoning presented as a general rule, attacks on motives, and identity-based arguments; and steelman the other side’s most reasonable position. It also looks for the real disagreements that would change the conclusion and analyzes the relationship between incentives, constraints, and practical action. Whether you are reviewing a controversial article, improving your own argument, understanding a comment-section conflict, or comparing options with incomplete information, you will receive tentative conclusions, key reservations, conditions for updating your judgment, and suggested next steps. For time-sensitive or specialized facts, it will clearly identify what needs further verification rather than filling gaps with false certainty.
Best for
For people who want to rigorously examine arguments, understand disagreements, or make more reliable decisions under uncertainty.
How to use this Skill
Provide your input
Provide a controversial topic, article, comment thread, or options to compare with incomplete information, and explain what you want to resolve.
Run the Skill
After submission, the system will separate different types of judgments, assess evidence and unknowns, present reasonable opposing views, and identify the key conditions that could change the conclusion.
Review your result
Receive a clear analysis with tentative conclusions, key reservations, alternative explanations, update conditions, and suggested next steps.
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Information
- Version
- v3
- Last updated
- Runtime credits
- Usage-based
- Models
- Auto
- Use cases
- Writing & contentResearch & analysisBusiness & strategy
- What you get
- ReportBriefPlan