🎖️《GⅠ》~Oaks~ Final Predictions🎖️
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~✨🌟Recent [Graded Stakes] Main Pick ◎ Performance🌟✨~
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【N Z T】🥇◎ Reservation (45.3x)
【Nakayama Himba S】🥇◎ Ethelfrieda (15.3x)
【Aichi Hai】🥈◎ Salt Queen (9.1x)
【N H K】🥈◎ Ask Ikigomi (8.4x)
【Nakayama Kinen】🥈◎ Kalamatianos (7.6x)
【Nakayama Grand J】🥈◎ Dinasta (6.6x)
【Takamatsunomiya Kinen】🥉◎ Win Carnelian (19.4x)
【Churchill】🥉◎ Barcesito (6.7x)
【Spring】🥉◎ Ask Edinburgh (4.9x)
【Falcon】🥉◎ Fukuchan Show (12.6x)
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🔹Pick List🔹
◎15 Ange de Joie
○12 Dream Core
▲3 Alancar
☆13 Enne
△8.10.11.16.18
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The Tokyo Turf 2400m is not a stage decided solely by the early position battle. While the distance to the first corner allows the flow to settle, it is a condition that demands comprehensive strength—the ability to catch a breath mid-race while maintaining a long, sustained closing kick. Since momentary bursts of speed aren't enough to hold on, and factors like settling, endurance, and re-acceleration on the long straight are required, the ability to handle the distance and the maturity of race sense directly impact the results. Based on these course characteristics and this field, the main pick ◎ is Ange de Joie.
Despite having a career of only 2 wins in 2 starts, she showed her ability to maintain her pace from a good position in her 2000m debut. In her previous race, the Kunshiran Sho (1800m), she recovered well from a late start to win with a strong closing drive. Furthermore, her final 3-furlong time of 34.1 was excellent even for this generation of fillies, showing quality that goes beyond just the level of competition. Her ability to adapt her racing style in each race is a strength, and her maturity is not inferior here. I rate her as the top pick, believing she has already shown the talent and substance to be competitive even in a G1.
The second pick ○ Dream Core is a proven horse with results in graded stakes. She won the Queen Cup decisively by leading and holding on, and also won the Begonia Sho, showing top-tier ability early on. Her 9th place in the previous Oka Sho might look underwhelming, but that race had a fast mile pace where she was forced to the back and couldn't show her true strengths. It's not uncommon for horses that found 1600m too busy to improve at 2400m, and as a Kizuna offspring, there's a high possibility her performance will rise with the distance increase. The long-sustained speed she showed in the Queen Cup is a key factor for these conditions. In terms of ability, she is naturally at the top here and has plenty of potential for a comeback.
▲ Alancar is a more dangerous presence than her popularity suggests. Her 5th place in the Oka Sho, where she closed the gap from near the back while circling wide, was worth more than the finishing position. She hasn't faltered against top-tier opponents, finishing 3rd by 0.1s in the Tulip Sho and gaining G1 experience in the Hanshin JF. Even without flashy wins, her ability to consistently use her legs in high-level races cannot be overlooked. As an Epiphaneia offspring, there are few concerns about the distance extension; in fact, she might perform better here than in a mile. Her closing speed quality is not inferior to the top contenders, and if the race becomes a test of endurance rather than extreme instantaneous speed, she could jump into the lead role.
☆ Enne is one horse that hasn't shown her floor yet, considering her short career. She won her 1800m maiden race with a solid closing drive and immediately took 2nd in the Flora Stakes, her first graded race. Although the early pace was very slow, her ability to use a 32.8 final 3-furlong kick from the back at Tokyo 2000m is highly rated. Having only raced twice, she lacks experience, but that means there is significant room for improvement. With a Kizuna pedigree capable of handling the distance and the Tokyo aptitude typical of Flora Stakes runners, she is attractive. She has already shown enough impact to compete even against stronger opponents, and if the favorites mark each other too closely, she could sweep them all in the end.
🔻Betting Picks🔻
【Win, Place】
15
【Wide】
15→3.12.13
【Trifecta (Formation)】
15→3.12.13→3.8.10.11.12.13.16.18
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